Could AKB48 get an Oscar nomination?

As a film/media geek, I love the Oscars. I don’t necessarily agree with everything that goes on, and I think there’s a lot of politics that goes into what gets picked as the best of the year (though, I don’t care what any of you might say, The Artist was brilliant and deserved to win over The Descendants, though that did have fantastic performances). But I think predictions of this type of thing are fairly interesting.

So, when I saw that AKB48 is doing a song for the global release of Disney’s latest “Wreck-It Ralph” one of the first things I wondered is if AKB48 could get nominated for an Oscar.

Of course, the nomination would be for whoever composed the song, and not the performer. So the award wouldn’t be AKB’s. However, it got me wondering if there’s a chance that AKB48’s song “Sugar Rush” could be up for nomination, which would mean that there’s a chance AKB48 could perform at the Oscars.

First off, children’s/animated movies tend to do really REALLY well at this award. The last song awarded this was “Man or Muppet” from The Muppet Movie and the award before that was for “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3. Even in years that kid’s movies lost the award to something else they are usually very present in the category; in 2007 the movie Enchanted was nominated three times, though eventually losing to “Falling Slowly” from Once.

Secondly, there’s no major musical that could take as many nominations as Enchanted is doing this year. The forerunner for winning the whole category right now is a new song from the film adaptation of Les Miserables, but that’s only one song; the rest aren’t eligible. The biggest musicals of the year are arguably Rock of Ages and Pitch Perfect, both movies that rely on established songs.

So what else is going to be tough to beat other than Les Mis? Adele is doing the theme for the new James Bond movie Skyfall. Pixar’s movie Brave had a couple of original songs, and I bet one will get nominated. I’ve also seen that songs from the movie Lawless could have a shot as well. There are also some original English-language songs from Wreck-it Ralph that could trump AKB48’s offering. However, language isn’t necessarily a barrier; 2008 was the year of Slumdog Millionaire, and everyone loved Jai Ho, which was sung in three Indian languages. However, this may be the exception rather than the rule, as not many non-English songs get nominated.

So, ultimately I do think it is a long shot to see AKB48 performing at the Oscars. However, this year is probably the best year for it to happen, and you never know!

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